Risk of a crisis in the global energy market - European Commission drafts three-point strategy

The European Commission is sending a strong warning signal about the course of the global energy market, calling it a potentially “historic” crisis. This is not an exaggeration, but rather a reflection of a complex reality, where geopolitical instability, dependence on fossil fuels and disruptions in supply chains are creating a “storm.”
The Energy Commissioner points out that Europe has already incurred over €30 billion in additional energy import costs, without a corresponding increase in supply. This reveals a deep imbalance between demand and available resources.
A critical factor in the uncertainty are strategic energy transit points, such as the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant portion of the world's oil and natural gas passes. Any disruption to its operation could have adverse effects on global prices and supply.
However, the crisis is not just the result of cyclical developments. It also reflects structural weaknesses in the energy model. The global economy is still heavily dependent on fossil fuels, which makes it vulnerable to geopolitical shocks.
The economic consequences are already visible. Rising energy costs are being passed on directly to businesses and households, fuelling inflation and reducing the competitiveness of European industry. At the same time, the potential for shortages of critical fuels, such as jet fuel, creates additional risks for trade and transport.
For the European Union, the crisis highlights a deeper issue: energy dependence as a strategic weakness. Despite steps towards diversification after 2022, Europe remains dependent on imports in an environment of increasing international competition, particularly from Asian economies.
To respond to this challenge, Brussels is drawing up a three-pronged strategy. First, strengthening security of supply through reserves and better coordination between member states. Second, diversifying energy sources to reduce dependence on unstable regions. And third, accelerating the energy transition, with investments in renewables and electric mobility.
The message is clear: the crisis is not temporary, but reveals the limits of a global energy system in transition. And its management will determine not only Europe's economic stability but also its geopolitical position in the years to come.
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